TRX Price Prediction: Will TRX Hit $1 Amid Market Volatility?

#TRX

• TRX is trading below its 20-day MA but shows bullish MACD momentum.
• Market sentiment is mixed due to economic events and TRON's ecosystem developments.
• Reaching $1 would require a 268% increase, which is unlikely in the near term.

TRX Price Prediction

TRX Technical Analysis: Key Indicators to Watch

According to BTCC financial analyst James, TRX is currently trading at 0.27160000 USDT, slightly below its 20-day moving average (MA) of 0.276015. The MACD indicator shows a bullish crossover with the MACD line at 0.005450 above the signal line at 0.000828, suggesting potential upward momentum. Bollinger Bands indicate the price is NEAR the middle band (0.276015), with upper and lower bands at 0.289731 and 0.262299, respectively. This suggests a neutral to slightly bullish trend in the short term.

Market Sentiment: TRX Faces Mixed Signals Amid Economic Events

BTCC financial analyst James notes that TRX is experiencing mixed market sentiment. On one hand, partnerships like MoonPay with TRON DAO and growing interest in TRX from investors are positive developments. On the other hand, key US economic events could trigger a market sell-off, and TRX's price stagnation amid record-high stablecoin supply on the TRON network adds uncertainty. The $0.261 support level remains crucial for TRON’s price stability.

Factors Influencing TRX’s Price

Key US Economic Events Could Trigger a Massive Crypto Market Sell-Off

This week stands as a potential inflection point for cryptocurrency markets, with three critical U.S. economic indicators poised to dictate sentiment. Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's congressional testimony, jobless claims data, and the PCE inflation index may collectively unleash heightened volatility across digital assets.

Market sentiment has turned decidedly bearish, with the total crypto market capitalization shedding 2.6% in 24 hours. Bitcoin leads the downturn at 4.9% weekly losses, while altcoins show even deeper cuts—Ethereum plunged 14%, Solana 14.7%, and Cardano 15.7%. The U.S. Economic Surprise Index, currently at its most negative reading since 2025, reflects growing macroeconomic uncertainty that typically dampens risk appetite.

All eyes will be on Powell's June 24 testimony before Congress. The Fed chair's tone—whether hawkish or dovish—could immediately recalibrate crypto valuations. Historical patterns suggest such macroeconomic crossroads often precipitate cascading sell-offs when liquidity conditions tighten.

Meme Coin Little Pepe (LILPEPE) Gains Momentum, Challenging Cardano (ADA) and Tron (TRX)

As 2025 unfolds, Little Pepe (LILPEPE) emerges as a formidable contender in the meme coin sector, challenging established cryptocurrencies like Cardano (ADA) and Tron (TRX). With a combination of price potential, infrastructure innovation, and cultural appeal, LILPEPE is attracting a new wave of investors. Early metrics suggest this meme coin is not just a short-term hype but a serious player aiming for dominance.

Cardano and Tron, despite their legacy frameworks, show signs of stagnation. Cardano trades at $0.61, with 4.45 million addresses holding ADA, but user growth has plateaued. Tron, priced at $0.27, relies heavily on USDT-driven activity, limiting organic growth in other areas. Both projects face challenges in delivering the exponential returns investors seek.

TRX Support Level at $0.261 Crucial for TRON’s Price Stability

TRON (TRX) has demonstrated notable resilience amid broader market turmoil, declining just under 3% over the past 24 hours while Bitcoin and major altcoins like Ethereum and Solana faced steeper losses. The cryptocurrency now hovers near a critical support level at $0.261, with a breakdown potentially opening the door to further downside toward $0.24.

Unlike its peers, TRX maintains a low correlation with Bitcoin (+0.32), according to IntoTheBlock data—a factor that may explain its relative stability. However, technical analysis reveals a tightening six-week trading range between $0.263 and $0.294, leaving little margin for error. Market participants await TRON’s next move as geopolitical uncertainty continues to weigh on risk assets.

Is Tron Coin – USDT Relationship Beneficial? Here’s Key Update

The symbiotic relationship between TRON (TRX) and Tether (USDT) continues to reshape the network's liquidity dynamics. Nearly half of all TRX—approximately 43.8 billion tokens—is now staked, primarily to facilitate USDT transactions. This deep liquidity pool enhances security and reduces costs for daily users.

Stake 2.0, TRON's upgraded staking model, has catalyzed this trend. With 24.3 billion TRX participating, the system delivers greater flexibility and rewards, driving a 167% surge in energy usage and 50% bandwidth growth over the past year. USDT transactions, the network's lifeblood, benefit from accelerated speeds and lower fees.

The TRX-USDT nexus grows increasingly critical as demand spikes. Network metrics suggest this partnership is now foundational for traders and dApps, with USDT transactions dictating capacity requirements. Energy consumption alone has risen 108%, underscoring the pairing's operational significance.

TRON and Cardano Show Steady Growth as BlockDAG Gains Momentum Ahead of Exchange Launch

TRON's USDT supply has reached new highs, with over 2.66 million long-term holders now supporting the network. Meanwhile, Cardano's ADA continues to eye a potential $3 comeback, though market sentiment remains cautious.

BlockDAG is emerging as a dark horse in the crypto race, with its presale closing in just six days at an entry price of $0.0019. The project's upcoming exchange listing on May 13 has generated significant buzz, overshadowing more established players.

The crypto market's quiet achiever demonstrates how presale momentum and strategic exchange listings can disrupt even the most stable altcoin trajectories. TRON's growing stablecoin dominance and Cardano's persistent bullish potential now share headlines with BlockDAG's record-breaking fundraising efforts.

MoonPay Partners with TRON DAO to Enable U.S. TRX Purchases

MoonPay, a leading cryptocurrency payments provider, has entered a strategic collaboration with TRON DAO to expand access to the TRON ecosystem. The partnership allows U.S. users to purchase TRX directly through MoonPay's platform, bridging the gap between fiat and one of the most active blockchain networks.

TRON's ecosystem processes over 8.3 million daily transactions, with TRX listed on more than 130 exchanges. The token's market capitalization surpassed $23 billion in April 2025, underscoring its position as a top-tier cryptocurrency. This integration signals growing institutional recognition of TRON's DeFi infrastructure.

Lightchain AI Draws Interest From TRX, XRP, and ETH Investors Amid 100x Growth Speculation

Lightchain AI is emerging as a focal point for investors in Tron (TRX), XRP, and Ethereum (ETH) as the cryptocurrency market shifts toward projects with real-world utility. The platform's potential for exponential growth has sparked speculation of a 100x return, drawing comparisons to early-stage opportunities in blockchain technology.

Market participants are increasingly prioritizing practical applications over speculative hype. Lightchain AI's convergence of artificial intelligence and decentralized networks positions it as a standout candidate for institutional and retail investors alike. The project's traction among established crypto communities suggests growing confidence in its underlying technology.

While the broader market consolidates, niche projects combining AI and blockchain continue to attract capital flows from major digital asset holders. This trend reflects evolving investment theses that favor interoperability and technological integration over singular use cases.

TRON's Stablecoin Supply Hits Record High Amid TRX Price Stagnation

TRON's stablecoin market has achieved a historic milestone, with its supply surging to $71.9 billion as of May 7, according to DeFiLlama. The growth follows Tether's recent minting of $1 billion USDT on the network—the sixth such issuance since April. Yet, TRX price remains subdued, failing to break key resistance levels despite the ecosystem's broader momentum.

The network's decentralized exchange volume jumped 40% month-over-month to $4.9 billion in April, while total value locked rebounded to $5 billion. TRON now boasts over 302 million accounts and 10 billion processed transactions, handling up to $19 billion in daily activity. Market observers note a divergence between fundamental growth and token performance—a dynamic increasingly common in maturing blockchain ecosystems.

Tron Network Nears Ethereum's USDT Dominance with $71B Milestone

TRON's blockchain has quietly become a powerhouse for Tether transactions, now hosting $71 billion worth of USDT—just $4 billion shy of Ethereum's $75 billion dominance. The network appears to be in an accumulation phase, with on-chain metrics suggesting dormant bullish potential.

While adoption grows, subdued activity in other TRX metrics hints at a possible consolidation period. Market watchers speculate whether this lull precedes another explosive growth cycle for the network, which has steadily carved its niche in stablecoin settlement.

USDT: The Tron vs. Ethereum Showdown Hits A New High

Tron is staging a formidable resurgence in the stablecoin arena, narrowing the gap with Ethereum after Tether's latest injection of 1 billion USDT. The move brings Tron within striking distance of Ethereum's dominance, with just 1.4 billion dollars separating the two networks.

Stablecoins, projected to reach a $2 trillion market by 2028, have become a battleground for blockchain supremacy. Tron's rebound signals a pivotal shift in this high-stakes competition, potentially reclaiming its former leadership position in USDT circulation.

Ethereum faces mounting pressure as its stablecoin market share declines. The rivalry between these networks underscores the strategic importance of stablecoins in the broader cryptocurrency ecosystem.

TRON Network Signals Accumulation Phase Amid Cooling Activity

TRON's network activity shows signs of slowing, with declining gas usage and new wallet growth. Analysts interpret this as a potential accumulation phase rather than bearish sentiment.

TRX price currently tests the $0.244 support level. A decisive break above $0.259 resistance could catalyze a move toward $0.30, according to technical indicators.

The RSI remains neutral near 50, while traders await a MACD bullish crossover to confirm upward momentum. CryptoQuant contributor BorisVest notes declining transaction fees and wallet creation may indicate a cooling-off period preceding the next market move.

Will TRX Price Hit 1?

According to BTCC financial analyst James, reaching $1 for TRX in the near term is unlikely based on current technical and fundamental factors. The price would need to increase by over 268% from its current level of 0.27160000 USDT. While bullish indicators like the MACD crossover and steady growth in TRON's ecosystem are positive, significant resistance levels and macroeconomic uncertainties pose challenges. Below is a summary of key data: